Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.201140 0.228938 0.258768 0.293112 0.331510 0.373067 0.421396
2025-11-23 0.161556 0.198167 0.240088 0.291464 0.352543 0.422642 0.508978
2025-11-30 0.137590 0.180054 0.231459 0.297886 0.381027 0.481188 0.610479
2025-12-07 0.116715 0.162003 0.219655 0.297772 0.400093 0.528707 0.701623
2025-12-14 0.100498 0.147238 0.209533 0.297629 0.417811 0.574663 0.793221
2025-12-21 0.087772 0.135192 0.201120 0.298065 0.435272 0.620489 0.886918
2025-12-28 0.078725 0.126976 0.196701 0.302931 0.458345 0.674562 0.994509
2026-01-04 0.071926 0.121080 0.194694 0.310557 0.485254 0.735018 1.114127
2026-01-11 0.064877 0.113837 0.189730 0.312956 0.504161 0.784667 1.220740
2026-01-18 0.059698 0.108888 0.187621 0.319190 0.528790 0.843606 1.343766
2026-01-25 0.055603 0.105202 0.187015 0.327461 0.556745 0.908700 1.479152
2026-02-01 0.050242 0.098673 0.181042 0.326329 0.569412 0.950739 1.581198
2026-02-08 0.045343 0.092534 0.175344 0.325497 0.583037 0.995962 1.692383
2026-02-15 0.040909 0.086708 0.169585 0.323967 0.595222 1.039418 1.803061
2026-02-22 0.038247 0.083925 0.168930 0.331192 0.622555 1.108795 1.959136
2026-03-01 0.034883 0.079340 0.164494 0.331159 0.637131 1.157656 2.083833
2026-03-08 0.031879 0.075105 0.160268 0.331054 0.651377 1.206484 2.210705
2026-03-15 0.029264 0.071353 0.156581 0.331563 0.666585 1.257538 2.343658
2026-03-22 0.027422 0.069046 0.155510 0.336936 0.690958 1.325663 2.509218
2026-03-29 0.026037 0.067585 0.155994 0.345338 0.721431 1.406004 2.699844
2026-04-05 0.024232 0.064932 0.153732 0.347983 0.740955 1.467471 2.859633
2026-04-12 0.022945 0.063342 0.153563 0.354845 0.768997 1.545733 3.053099
2026-04-19 0.021932 0.062292 0.154456 0.363945 0.801928 1.634521 3.269600